In Breakout: Normandy, the number of Casualty Points (CPs) inflicted in a given assault, or the number of Attrition Points (APs) inflicted in a given Bombardment, depends partly on the AV-DV difference that is calculated prior to rolling the dice, and partly on the DR DIFF result that comes from rolling two pairs of dice. This table shows the probability of inflicting the number of CPs or APs indicated in the column heading or more, given the AV-DV difference (prior to rolling the two pairs of dice) that is shown in the first column. For example, suppose Lehr/1 (Attack Factor 6) assaults 51/152 (Defence Factor 5) in Caen (TEM 4) in clear weather (DV +2). The total AV is 6 and the total DV is 11, so AV-DV is -5. The probability that the Germans will inflict 5 or more CPs and thereby eliminate the Allied unit is just 0.1%. Thanks to Mircea Pauca and Kurt Over for pointing out errors in an earlier edition of this table.

Table P.3
Probability of a Certain Number of CPs/APs or More
AV-DV

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-10
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-9
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-8
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-7
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-6
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-5
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-4
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-3
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-2
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-1
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
1
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
2
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
3
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
4
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
1.2%
5
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
2.7%
6
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
5.4%
7
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9.7%
8
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
15.9%
9
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
23.9%
10
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
33.6%
11
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
44.4%
12
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
55.6%
13
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
66.4%
14
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
76.1%
15
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
84.1%
16
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
90.3%
17
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
94.6%
18
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
97.3%
19
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
98.8%
20
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.6%
21
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
22

100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%